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Combat Edge Intelligence

Felix Lee Mitchell vs Sam Adkins

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Sam Adkins
us

Sam Adkins

“The Experience”

7-20-2HeavyweightREF

1366Developing

Tale of the tape

2-7-0Record7-20-2
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
220 lbsWeight225 lbs
Team

What's at stake

Felix Lee Mitchell is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Sam Adkins carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Felix Lee MitchellNow 1435
If they win+19→ 1454
If they lose-29→ 1406
Sam AdkinsNow 1366
If they win+14→ 1380
If they lose-10→ 1356

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1559 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Felix Lee MitchellSam Adkins
13501400145015001995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
1 (14%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (57%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Felix Lee Mitchell59%
Sam Adkins 41%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Felix Lee Mitchell a 59% favorite over Sam Adkins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Felix Lee Mitchell holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1435 to 1366, a 69-point edge.

Felix Lee Mitchell enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Sam Adkins enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Sam Adkins 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.