Fernando Diaz-Marquez vs Ramon Cornejo
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Fernando Diaz-Marquez59%
Ramon Cornejo 41%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Fernando Diaz-Marquez a 59% favorite over Ramon Cornejo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Fernando Diaz-Marquez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1553 to 1505, a 48-point edge.
Fernando Diaz-Marquez enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
2-0-0Record1-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height6'0"
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
Fernando Diaz-Marquez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Ramon Cornejo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1574
If they lose-27→ 1526
If they win+27→ 1532
If they lose-21→ 1484
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1515 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Fernando Diaz-MarquezRamon Cornejo