Combat Edge Intelligence

Fernando Gonzalez vs Rayan Kadosoe

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-20-0Record4-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
TBDReach76.7"
186 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team QuestTeamFirst Class Boxing

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fernando GonzalezNow 1567
If they win+12→ 1579
If they lose-12→ 1555
Rayan KadosoeNow 1567
If they win+24→ 1591
If they lose-24→ 1543

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.80
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
8.06
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
66%
Strike defense
TBD
0.57
Takedown avg.
TBD
20%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
44%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.15
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Fernando GonzalezRayan Kadosoe
155016002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (41%)
KO/TKO
1 (25%)
6 (21%)
Submission
2 (50%)
11 (38%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Rayan Kadosoe71%
Fernando Gonzalez 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rayan Kadosoe a 71% favorite over Fernando Gonzalez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Fernando Gonzalez's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1567 vs 1567), separated by just 0 points.

Fernando Gonzalez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Fernando Gonzalez finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Rayan Kadosoe 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.