Fernie Garcia vs Hyder Amil
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record11-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
67"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fortis MMATeamEl Nino Training Center
What's at stake
Hyder Amil is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Fernie Garcia carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1612
If they lose-12→ 1580
If they win+12→ 1692
If they lose-20→ 1660
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1628 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Fernie GarciaHyder Amil
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Hyder Amil70%
Fernie Garcia 30%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Hyder Amil a 70% favorite over Fernie Garcia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Hyder Amil holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1680 to 1592, a 88-point edge.
Fernie Garcia enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Hyder Amil enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Fernie Garcia finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Hyder Amil 64%.
Hyder Amil carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.