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Combat Edge Intelligence

Fernie Garcia vs Mathias Prehofer

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record8-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'6"
67"Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fortis MMATeamRoberto Pastuch Dojo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fernie GarciaNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
Mathias PrehoferNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.04
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
34%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
49%
Strike defense
Not available
0.28
Takedown avg.
Not available
50%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
50%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.55
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Fernie GarciaMathias Prehofer
150015501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
3 (30%)
Submission
1 (13%)
6 (60%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Fernie Garcia61%
Mathias Prehofer 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Fernie Garcia a 61% favorite over Mathias Prehofer in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mathias Prehofer's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1590), separated by just 1 points.

Fernie Garcia enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Fernie Garcia finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Mathias Prehofer 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.