Fernie Garcia vs Ricky Turcios
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record12-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
67"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fortis MMATeamTeam Alpha Male
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Fernie GarciaRicky Turcios
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ricky Turcios60%
Fernie Garcia 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ricky Turcios a 60% favorite over Fernie Garcia in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Fernie Garcia's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1592 vs 1592), separated by just 0 points.
Fernie Garcia enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Ricky Turcios enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Fernie Garcia finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Turcios 33%.
Fernie Garcia and Ricky Turcios share 1 common opponent: Brady Hiestand.
Ricky Turcios carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.