Filip Pejic vs Johnny Gonzalez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-8-2Record2-0-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
71,0"Reach-
152 lbsWeight138 lbs
American Top Team Zagreb· 1618 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamBlack Widow MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1566
If they lose-16→ 1534
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Filip PejicJohnny Gonzalez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Johnny Gonzalez55%
Filip Pejic 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Johnny Gonzalez a 55% favorite over Filip Pejic in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1550 vs 1551), separated by just 1 points.
Johnny Gonzalez enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Filip Pejic finishes 88% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.