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Combat Edge Intelligence

Finn Martin vs Mataeo Garner

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

3-0-0Record4-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height5'9"
-Reach70"
194 lbsWeight185 lbs
Nashville MMA Training CampTeamInferno MMA

What's at stake

Finn Martin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Mataeo Garner carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Finn MartinNow 1582
If they win+19→ 1601
If they lose-29→ 1553
Mataeo GarnerNow 1507
If they win+29→ 1536
If they lose-19→ 1488

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Finn MartinMataeo Garner
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (100%)
KO/TKO
1 (25%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (25%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Finn Martin54%
Mataeo Garner 46%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Finn Martin a 54% favorite over Mataeo Garner in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Finn Martin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1582 to 1507, a 75-point edge.

Finn Martin enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Mataeo Garner enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Finn Martin finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Mataeo Garner 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.