Finn Martin vs Mataeo Garner
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-0-0Record4-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height5'9"
-Reach70"
194 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
Finn Martin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Mataeo Garner carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1578
If they lose-25→ 1530
If they win+25→ 1559
If they lose-23→ 1511
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Finn MartinMataeo Garner
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Finn Martin59%
Mataeo Garner 41%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Finn Martin a 59% favorite over Mataeo Garner in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Finn Martin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1555 to 1534, a 21-point edge.
Finn Martin enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Mataeo Garner 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.