Finn Martin vs Tom Lawlor
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-0-0Record11-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
-Reach74,0"
194 lbsWeight205 lbs
Nashville MMA Training CampTeamThe Jungle MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1606
If they lose-24→ 1558
If they win+16→ 1599
If they lose-16→ 1567
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1637 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Finn MartinTom Lawlor
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Finn Martin53%
Tom Lawlor 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Finn Martin a 53% favorite over Tom Lawlor in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tom Lawlor's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1583), separated by just 1 points.
Finn Martin enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Finn Martin finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tom Lawlor 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.