Combat Edge Intelligence

Firas Daud vs Kaiwen Li

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kaiwen Li
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Kaiwen Li

“The Underdog”

17-8-0LightweightRUFC

1609Solid

Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record17-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
-Reach69"
145 lbsWeight150 lbs
Fight Club Gelsenkirchen· 1576 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamK-1 Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Firas DaudNow 1609
If they win+24→ 1633
If they lose-24→ 1585
Kaiwen LiNow 1609
If they win+12→ 1621
If they lose-12→ 1597

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1492 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.73
Not available
Strike accuracy
43%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.72
Not available
Strike defense
54%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.41
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
93%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Firas DaudKaiwen Li
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (75%)
KO/TKO
10 (59%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (6%)
1 (25%)
Decision
6 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Kaiwen Li62%
Firas Daud 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kaiwen Li a 62% favorite over Firas Daud in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Firas Daud's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1609), separated by just 0 points.

Firas Daud finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Kaiwen Li 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.