Combat Edge Intelligence

Firas Daud vs Mehdi Saadi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record7-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'7"
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight140 lbs
Fight Club GelsenkirchenTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Firas DaudNow 1609
If they win+24→ 1633
If they lose-24→ 1585
Mehdi SaadiNow 1610
If they win+24→ 1634
If they lose-24→ 1586

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1492 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Firas DaudMehdi Saadi
1550160020252026

Win method breakdown

3 (75%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (57%)
1 (25%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Firas Daud51%
Mehdi Saadi 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Firas Daud a 51% favorite over Mehdi Saadi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mehdi Saadi's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1610), separated by just 1 points.

Mehdi Saadi enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Firas Daud finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Mehdi Saadi 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.