Flavio Moura vs Paul Jones
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-7-0Record11-1-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
187 lbsWeight198 lbs
Gracie FusionTeam
What's at stake
Paul Jones is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Flavio Moura carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+36→ 1521
If they lose-12→ 1473
If they win+8→ 1687
If they lose-24→ 1655
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1688 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Flavio MouraPaul Jones
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paul Jones75%
Flavio Moura 25%Elo baseline: 75%
The Combat Edge model makes Paul Jones a 75% favorite over Flavio Moura in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).
Paul Jones holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1679 to 1485, a 194-point edge.
Flavio Moura finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Paul Jones 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.