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Combat Edge Intelligence

Floyd Sword vs Thales Leites

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record28-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
TBDReach78,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team Four CornersTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

Thales Leites is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Floyd Sword carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Floyd SwordNow 1675
If they win+19→ 1694
If they lose-13→ 1662
Thales LeitesNow 1745
If they win+10→ 1755
If they lose-14→ 1731

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

0.78
Sig. strikes / min
2.13
43%
Strike accuracy
41%
1.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.99
40%
Strike defense
53%
0
Takedown avg.
2.10
Not available
Takedown accuracy
27%
33%
Takedown defense
31%
0
Submission avg.
1.14

Trajectory

Floyd SwordThales Leites
1600165017001750200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
4 (14%)
7 (58%)
Submission
15 (54%)
1 (8%)
Decision
9 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Thales Leites81%
Floyd Sword 19%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Thales Leites a 81% favorite over Floyd Sword in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Thales Leites holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1745 to 1675, a 70-point edge.

Floyd Sword enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Floyd Sword finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Thales Leites 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.