Forrest Griffin vs Keith Jardine
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-7-0Record17-11-2
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'2"
77"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Forrest Griffin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Keith Jardine carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1670
If they lose-20→ 1638
If they win+20→ 1590
If they lose-12→ 1558
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1711 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1683 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Forrest GriffinKeith Jardine
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Forrest Griffin78%
Keith Jardine 22%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Forrest Griffin a 78% favorite over Keith Jardine in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Forrest Griffin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1658 to 1570, a 88-point edge.
Keith Jardine enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Forrest Griffin finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Keith Jardine 59%.
Forrest Griffin and Keith Jardine share 1 common opponent: Quinton Jackson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.