Combat Edge Intelligence

Forrest Griffin vs Quinton Jackson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-7-0Record38-14-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
77"Reach73"
205 lbsWeight265 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamWolfslair Academy

What's at stake

Quinton Jackson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Forrest Griffin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Forrest GriffinNow 1658
If they win+19→ 1677
If they lose-13→ 1645
Quinton JacksonNow 1731
If they win+10→ 1741
If they lose-14→ 1717

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1711 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1685 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.38
Sig. strikes / min
3.25
36%
Strike accuracy
54%
2.81
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.51
61%
Strike defense
55%
1.05
Takedown avg.
1.52
48%
Takedown accuracy
56%
57%
Takedown defense
74%
0.73
Submission avg.
0.13

Trajectory

Forrest GriffinQuinton Jackson
1650170017502010201120122013201420152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

4 (21%)
KO/TKO
20 (53%)
6 (32%)
Submission
4 (11%)
9 (47%)
Decision
14 (37%)

Combat Edge model read

Quinton Jackson56%
Forrest Griffin 44%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Quinton Jackson a 56% favorite over Forrest Griffin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Quinton Jackson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1731 to 1658, a 73-point edge.

Forrest Griffin finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Quinton Jackson 63%.

Forrest Griffin carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.