Forrest Griffin vs Rich Franklin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-7-0Record29-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'1"
77"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamTeam Extreme
What's at stake
Rich Franklin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Forrest Griffin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1676
If they lose-14→ 1644
If they win+10→ 1720
If they lose-14→ 1696
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1711 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1689 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Forrest GriffinRich Franklin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Forrest Griffin54%
Rich Franklin 46%Elo baseline: 43%
The Combat Edge model makes Forrest Griffin a 54% favorite over Rich Franklin in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rich Franklin's way (43%).
Rich Franklin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1658, a 52-point edge.
Forrest Griffin finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Rich Franklin 86%.
Forrest Griffin and Rich Franklin share 1 common opponent: Anderson Silva.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.