Forrest Griffin vs Tito Ortiz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-7-0Record21-12-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
77"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamTeam Punishment
What's at stake
Tito Ortiz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Forrest Griffin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1680
If they lose-10→ 1648
If they win+8→ 1797
If they lose-16→ 1773
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1711 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Forrest GriffinTito Ortiz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tito Ortiz66%
Forrest Griffin 34%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Tito Ortiz a 66% favorite over Forrest Griffin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Tito Ortiz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1789 to 1658, a 131-point edge.
Tito Ortiz enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Forrest Griffin finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Tito Ortiz 71%.
Forrest Griffin and Tito Ortiz share 1 common opponent: Rashad Evans.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.