Forrest Petz vs Kuniyoshi Hironaka
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-10-0Record23-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight153 lbs
Strong Style Fight TeamTeamMaster Japan
What's at stake
Kuniyoshi Hironaka is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Forrest Petz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1664
If they lose-10→ 1640
If they win+10→ 1721
If they lose-14→ 1697
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Forrest PetzKuniyoshi Hironaka
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kuniyoshi Hironaka75%
Forrest Petz 25%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Kuniyoshi Hironaka a 75% favorite over Forrest Petz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Kuniyoshi Hironaka holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1650, a 61-point edge.
Forrest Petz finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Kuniyoshi Hironaka 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.