Combat Edge Intelligence

Forrest Petz vs Luigi Fioravanti

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Forrest Petz
us

Forrest Petz

“The Meat Cleaver”

26-10-0MiddleweightNAAFS

1650Good

Tale of the tape

26-10-0Record26-15-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight183 lbs
Strong Style Fight TeamTeamFlawless MMA

What's at stake

Forrest Petz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Luigi Fioravanti carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Forrest PetzNow 1650
If they win+10→ 1660
If they lose-14→ 1636
Luigi FioravantiNow 1586
If they win+14→ 1600
If they lose-10→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.27
Sig. strikes / min
2.23
30%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.21
57%
Strike defense
70%
1.30
Takedown avg.
3.76
100%
Takedown accuracy
63%
67%
Takedown defense
68%
0
Submission avg.
0.94

Trajectory

Forrest PetzLuigi Fioravanti
16001650201120122013201420152016

Win method breakdown

13 (50%)
KO/TKO
13 (50%)
4 (15%)
Submission
4 (15%)
9 (35%)
Decision
9 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Forrest Petz60%
Luigi Fioravanti 40%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Forrest Petz a 60% favorite over Luigi Fioravanti in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Forrest Petz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1650 to 1586, a 64-point edge.

Luigi Fioravanti enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Forrest Petz finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Luigi Fioravanti 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.