Forrest Petz vs Marcus Davis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-10-0Record23-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Strong Style Fight TeamTeamTeam Irish
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1662
If they lose-12→ 1638
If they win+12→ 1668
If they lose-12→ 1644
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Forrest PetzMarcus Davis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Forrest Petz53%
Marcus Davis 47%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Forrest Petz a 53% favorite over Marcus Davis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcus Davis's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1656), separated by just 6 points.
Forrest Petz finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Marcus Davis 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.