Forrest Petz vs Sammy Morgan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-10-0Record18-12-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight165 lbs
Strong Style Fight TeamTeamTeam Bison
What's at stake
Forrest Petz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Sammy Morgan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+6→ 1656
If they lose-18→ 1632
If they win+35→ 1507
If they lose-13→ 1459
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1678 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Forrest PetzSammy Morgan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Forrest Petz67%
Sammy Morgan 33%Elo baseline: 74%
The Combat Edge model makes Forrest Petz a 67% favorite over Sammy Morgan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).
Forrest Petz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1650 to 1472, a 178-point edge.
Sammy Morgan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Forrest Petz finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Sammy Morgan 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.