Combat Edge Intelligence

Fran Breen vs Sahil Shakirov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Fran Breen
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Fran Breen

“Fran”

5-2-0FlyweightCWFC

1547Average

Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record3-1-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
-Reach-
126 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fran BreenNow 1547
If they win+25→ 1572
If they lose-23→ 1524
Sahil ShakirovNow 1555
If they win+23→ 1578
If they lose-25→ 1530

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Fran BreenSahil Shakirov
1500155020252026

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (33%)
3 (60%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Fran Breen and Sahil Shakirov within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1547 vs 1555), separated by just 8 points.

Fran Breen finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Sahil Shakirov 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.