Fran Breen vs Ulka Sasaki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-2-0Record24-10-2
FlyweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'10"
-Reach71.00
126 lbsWeight145 lbs
Next Generation MMA LiverpoolTeamSerra-Longo Fight Team· 1771 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1571
If they lose-24→ 1523
If they win+16→ 1561
If they lose-16→ 1529
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1496 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Fran BreenUlka Sasaki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ulka Sasaki54%
Fran Breen 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ulka Sasaki a 54% favorite over Fran Breen in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Fran Breen's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1547 vs 1545), separated by just 2 points.
Ulka Sasaki enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Fran Breen finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Ulka Sasaki 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.