Fran Breen vs Zarrukh Adashev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-2-0Record4-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'7"
-Reach65"
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Next Generation MMA LiverpoolTeamLions Martial Arts Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1571
If they lose-24→ 1523
If they win+24→ 1573
If they lose-24→ 1525
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1496 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Fran BreenZarrukh Adashev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Zarrukh Adashev59%
Fran Breen 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Zarrukh Adashev a 59% favorite over Fran Breen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1547 vs 1549), separated by just 2 points.
Fran Breen finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Zarrukh Adashev 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.