Fran Luka Đurić vs Vinicius Pires
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record12-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'9"
-Reach67"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
American Top Team Zagreb· 1617 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamBlack Sheep
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626
If they win+16→ 1659
If they lose-16→ 1627
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1516 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Fran Luka ĐurićVinicius Pires
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Vinicius Pires59%
Fran Luka Đurić 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Vinicius Pires a 59% favorite over Fran Luka Đurić in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1642 vs 1643), separated by just 1 points.
Fran Luka Đurić enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Fran Luka Đurić finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Vinicius Pires 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.