Combat Edge Intelligence

Francesco Nuzzi vs Lito Adiwang

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Lito Adiwang
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Lito Adiwang

“Thunder Kid”

18-6-0BantamweightONE

1661Good

Tale of the tape

11-2-0Record18-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'4"
69"Reach65.4"
135 lbsWeight134 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Francesco NuzziNow 1661
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645
Lito AdiwangNow 1661
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Francesco NuzziLito Adiwang
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
3 (27%)
Submission
4 (22%)
3 (27%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Francesco Nuzzi and Lito Adiwang within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1661 vs 1661), separated by just 0 points.

Lito Adiwang enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Francesco Nuzzi finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Lito Adiwang 78%.

Francesco Nuzzi carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.