Francimar Barroso vs Nikita Krylov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-7-1Record31-12-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
75.00Reach77"
262 lbsWeight215 lbs
What's at stake
Nikita Krylov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Francimar Barroso carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1612
If they lose-12→ 1580
If they win+9→ 1700
If they lose-15→ 1676
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1619 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1709 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Francimar BarrosoNikita Krylov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nikita Krylov75%
Francimar Barroso 25%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Nikita Krylov a 75% favorite over Francimar Barroso in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Nikita Krylov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1691 to 1592, a 99-point edge.
Francimar Barroso enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Francimar Barroso finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Nikita Krylov 94%.
Nikita Krylov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.