Combat Edge Intelligence

Francimar Barroso vs Nikita Krylov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nikita Krylov
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Nikita Krylov

“The Miner”

31-11-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1704Good

Tale of the tape

26-7-1Record31-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
75.00Reach77"
262 lbsWeight215 lbs
GOR MMATeamRaty Team

What's at stake

Nikita Krylov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Francimar Barroso carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Francimar BarrosoNow 1592
If they win+21→ 1613
If they lose-11→ 1581
Nikita KrylovNow 1704
If they win+8→ 1712
If they lose-16→ 1688

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1619 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.77
Sig. strikes / min
4.36
53%
Strike accuracy
54%
3.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.59
59%
Strike defense
48%
2.22
Takedown avg.
2.05
24%
Takedown accuracy
37%
83%
Takedown defense
53%
0
Submission avg.
1.23

Trajectory

Francimar BarrosoNikita Krylov
1500160017002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (46%)
KO/TKO
13 (42%)
5 (19%)
Submission
16 (52%)
9 (35%)
Decision
2 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Nikita Krylov78%
Francimar Barroso 22%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Nikita Krylov a 78% favorite over Francimar Barroso in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Nikita Krylov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1592, a 112-point edge.

Francimar Barroso enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Francimar Barroso finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Nikita Krylov 94%.

Nikita Krylov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.