Combat Edge Intelligence

Francimar Barroso vs Tuco Tokkos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tuco Tokkos

Tuco Tokkos

“Tuco”

11-6-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1592Solid

Tale of the tape

26-7-1Record11-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
75.00Reach76"
262 lbsWeight205 lbs
GOR MMATeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Francimar BarrosoNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576
Tuco TokkosNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1619 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.77
Sig. strikes / min
2.12
53%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.27
59%
Strike defense
47%
2.22
Takedown avg.
4.21
24%
Takedown accuracy
47%
83%
Takedown defense
33%
0
Submission avg.
0.47

Trajectory

Francimar BarrosoTuco Tokkos
1500155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (46%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
5 (19%)
Submission
3 (27%)
9 (35%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Tuco Tokkos57%
Francimar Barroso 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tuco Tokkos a 57% favorite over Francimar Barroso in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Francimar Barroso's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1592 vs 1592), separated by just 0 points.

Francimar Barroso enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Francimar Barroso finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Tuco Tokkos 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.