Francis Carmont vs Gerald Meerschaert
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-12-0Record37-23-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'1"
TBDReach 77"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Tristar GymTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Francis Carmont is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Gerald Meerschaert carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1661
If they lose-13→ 1637
If they win+13→ 1647
If they lose-11→ 1623
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Francis CarmontGerald Meerschaert
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gerald Meerschaert65%
Francis Carmont 35%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Gerald Meerschaert a 65% favorite over Francis Carmont in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Francis Carmont's way (48%).
Francis Carmont holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1650 to 1634, a 16-point edge.
Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Francis Carmont finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Gerald Meerschaert 95%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.