Francis Carmont vs Ilian Bouafia
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-12-0Record8-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'5"
TBDReach78"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Tristar GymTeamBoxing Squad· 1649 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1662
If they lose-12→ 1638
If they win+24→ 1675
If they lose-24→ 1627
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Francis CarmontIlian Bouafia
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ilian Bouafia55%
Francis Carmont 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ilian Bouafia a 55% favorite over Francis Carmont in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1651), separated by just 1 points.
Francis Carmont finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Ilian Bouafia 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.