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Combat Edge Intelligence

Francis Carmont vs Karlos Vemola

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Karlos Vemola
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Karlos Vemola

“The Terminator”

37-8-0Light HeavyweightOKMMA

1756Great

Tale of the tape

25-12-0Record37-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Tristar GymTeamLondon Shootfighters

What's at stake

Karlos Vemola is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Francis Carmont carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Francis CarmontNow 1650
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-8→ 1642
Karlos VemolaNow 1756
If they win+8→ 1764
If they lose-16→ 1740

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.22
Sig. strikes / min
1.67
42%
Strike accuracy
44%
1.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.13
59%
Strike defense
38%
1.79
Takedown avg.
1.93
37%
Takedown accuracy
26%
73%
Takedown defense
31%
0.60
Submission avg.
1.66

Trajectory

Francis CarmontKarlos Vemola
1650170017502015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

6 (24%)
KO/TKO
9 (24%)
11 (44%)
Submission
20 (54%)
8 (32%)
Decision
8 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Karlos Vemola63%
Francis Carmont 37%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Karlos Vemola a 63% favorite over Francis Carmont in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Karlos Vemola holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1756 to 1650, a 106-point edge.

Francis Carmont finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Karlos Vemola 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.