Francis Carmont vs Karlos Vemola
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-12-0Record37-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Tristar GymTeamLondon Shootfighters
What's at stake
Karlos Vemola is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Francis Carmont carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1659
If they lose-9→ 1635
If they win+9→ 1746
If they lose-15→ 1722
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Francis CarmontKarlos Vemola
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Karlos Vemola72%
Francis Carmont 28%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Karlos Vemola a 72% favorite over Francis Carmont in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Karlos Vemola holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1737 to 1644, a 93-point edge.
Francis Carmont finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Karlos Vemola 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.