Combat Edge Intelligence

Francis Carmont vs Magnus Cedenblad

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-12-0Record14-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'3"
TBDReach79,0"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Tristar GymTeamAllstars Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Francis CarmontNow 1644
If they win+12→ 1656
If they lose-12→ 1632
Magnus CedenbladNow 1653
If they win+16→ 1669
If they lose-16→ 1637

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.22
Sig. strikes / min
2.38
42%
Strike accuracy
51%
1.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.02
59%
Strike defense
40%
1.79
Takedown avg.
2.87
37%
Takedown accuracy
64%
73%
Takedown defense
67%
0.60
Submission avg.
0.96

Trajectory

Francis CarmontMagnus Cedenblad
1650170020152016

Win method breakdown

6 (24%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
11 (44%)
Submission
5 (36%)
8 (32%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Magnus Cedenblad70%
Francis Carmont 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Magnus Cedenblad a 70% favorite over Francis Carmont in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1644 vs 1653), separated by just 9 points.

Francis Carmont finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Magnus Cedenblad 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.