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Combat Edge Intelligence

Francis Marshall vs Kaynan Kruschewsky

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-3-0Record15-2-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'9"
72"Reach43,5"
155 lbsWeight165 lbs
Pellegrino Mixed Martial ArtsTeamRicardo Pereira Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Francis MarshallNow 1655
If they win+16→ 1671
If they lose-16→ 1639
Kaynan KruschewskyNow 1655
If they win+16→ 1671
If they lose-16→ 1639

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.19
Sig. strikes / min
5.67
34%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.45
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.71
55%
Strike defense
47%
2.71
Takedown avg.
2.74
3%
Takedown accuracy
100%
89%
Takedown defense
75%
0.51
Submission avg.
2.06

Trajectory

Francis MarshallKaynan Kruschewsky
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
4 (27%)
5 (50%)
Submission
9 (60%)
4 (40%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Francis Marshall70%
Kaynan Kruschewsky 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Francis Marshall a 70% favorite over Kaynan Kruschewsky in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1655 vs 1655), separated by just 0 points.

Francis Marshall enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Kaynan Kruschewsky enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Francis Marshall finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Kaynan Kruschewsky 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.