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Combat Edge Intelligence

Francis Marshall vs Leandro Silva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Leandro Silva
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Leandro Silva

“Buscape / Apollo”

28-12-1LightweightOKMMA

1654Good

Tale of the tape

10-3-0Record28-12-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
72"Reach42,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Pellegrino Mixed Martial ArtsTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Francis MarshallNow 1655
If they win+16→ 1671
If they lose-16→ 1639
Leandro SilvaNow 1654
If they win+12→ 1666
If they lose-12→ 1642

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1617 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.19
Sig. strikes / min
2.39
34%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.45
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.08
55%
Strike defense
63%
2.71
Takedown avg.
1.76
3%
Takedown accuracy
38%
89%
Takedown defense
66%
0.51
Submission avg.
0.44

Trajectory

Francis MarshallLeandro Silva
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
3 (11%)
5 (50%)
Submission
11 (39%)
4 (40%)
Decision
14 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Francis Marshall62%
Leandro Silva 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Francis Marshall a 62% favorite over Leandro Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1655 vs 1654), separated by just 1 points.

Francis Marshall enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Francis Marshall finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Leandro Silva 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.