Combat Edge Intelligence

Francis Marshall vs Liam McCracken

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-3-0Record8-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
72"Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Francis MarshallNow 1654
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638
Liam McCrackenNow 1655
If they win+24→ 1679
If they lose-24→ 1631

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.39
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
33%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
54%
Strike defense
TBD
2.86
Takedown avg.
TBD
45%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
67%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.61
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Francis MarshallLiam McCracken
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
5 (50%)
Submission
3 (38%)
4 (40%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Liam McCracken51%
Francis Marshall 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Liam McCracken a 51% favorite over Francis Marshall in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1654 vs 1655), separated by just 1 points.

Francis Marshall enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Liam McCracken enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Francis Marshall finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Liam McCracken 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.