Combat Edge Intelligence

Francis Marshall vs Marcelo Rojo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Marcelo Rojo
ar

Marcelo Rojo

“Pitbull”

17-10-0FeatherweightFFC

1560Solid

Tale of the tape

10-3-0Record17-10-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'8"
72"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Pellegrino Mixed Martial ArtsTeamEntram Gym

What's at stake

Francis Marshall is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Marcelo Rojo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Francis MarshallNow 1654
If they win+12→ 1666
If they lose-20→ 1634
Marcelo RojoNow 1560
If they win+20→ 1580
If they lose-12→ 1548

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.39
Sig. strikes / min
4.92
33%
Strike accuracy
40%
4.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.42
54%
Strike defense
55%
2.86
Takedown avg.
0.46
45%
Takedown accuracy
50%
67%
Takedown defense
67%
0.61
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Francis MarshallMarcelo Rojo
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
9 (56%)
5 (50%)
Submission
6 (38%)
4 (40%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Francis Marshall83%
Marcelo Rojo 17%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Francis Marshall a 83% favorite over Marcelo Rojo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Francis Marshall holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1654 to 1560, a 94-point edge.

Francis Marshall enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Francis Marshall finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Marcelo Rojo 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.