Francis Marshall vs Marcelo Rojo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-3-0Record17-10-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'8"
72"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Pellegrino Mixed Martial ArtsTeamEntram Gym· 1678 avg Elo · 12 rated
What's at stake
Francis Marshall is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Marcelo Rojo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1667
If they lose-20→ 1635
If they win+20→ 1587
If they lose-12→ 1555
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Francis MarshallMarcelo Rojo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Francis Marshall74%
Marcelo Rojo 26%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Francis Marshall a 74% favorite over Marcelo Rojo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Francis Marshall holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1655 to 1567, a 88-point edge.
Francis Marshall enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Francis Marshall finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Marcelo Rojo 94%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.