Francis Marshall vs Marcus Davis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-3-0Record23-11-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'8"
72"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Pellegrino Mixed Martial ArtsTeamTeam Irish
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638
If they win+12→ 1667
If they lose-12→ 1643
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Francis MarshallMarcus Davis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Francis Marshall73%
Marcus Davis 27%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Francis Marshall a 73% favorite over Marcus Davis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcus Davis's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1654 vs 1655), separated by just 1 points.
Francis Marshall enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Francis Marshall finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Marcus Davis 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.