Francis Marshall vs Niko Samsonidse
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-3-0Record13-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'11"
72"Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Pellegrino Mixed Martial ArtsTeamSpitfire Gym Berlin· 1608 avg Elo · 9 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1671
If they lose-16→ 1639
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Francis MarshallNiko Samsonidse
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Francis Marshall56%
Niko Samsonidse 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Francis Marshall a 56% favorite over Niko Samsonidse in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1655 vs 1654), separated by just 1 points.
Francis Marshall enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Francis Marshall finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Niko Samsonidse 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.