Francis Ngannou vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-3-0Record15-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
83"Reach 78"
257 lbsWeight259 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Francis Ngannou is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jairzinho Rozenstruik carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1849
If they lose-22→ 1817
If they win+22→ 1725
If they lose-10→ 1693
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1745 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1726 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Francis NgannouJairzinho Rozenstruik
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Francis Ngannou76%
Jairzinho Rozenstruik 24%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Francis Ngannou a 76% favorite over Jairzinho Rozenstruik in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Francis Ngannou holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1839 to 1703, a 136-point edge.
Francis Ngannou enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Francis Ngannou finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Jairzinho Rozenstruik 87%.
Francis Ngannou and Jairzinho Rozenstruik share 2 common opponents: Ciryl Gane and Curtis Blaydes.
Francis Ngannou carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.