Francis Ngannou vs Jon Jones
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-3-0Record28-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
83"Reach84"
257 lbsWeight248 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Jon Jones is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Francis Ngannou carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1859
If they lose-13→ 1827
If they win+10→ 1916
If they lose-14→ 1892
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1746 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1762 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Francis NgannouJon Jones
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jon Jones62%
Francis Ngannou 38%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Jon Jones a 62% favorite over Francis Ngannou in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Jon Jones holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1906 to 1840, a 66-point edge.
Francis Ngannou enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Jon Jones enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Francis Ngannou finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Jon Jones 64%.
Francis Ngannou and Jon Jones share 2 common opponents: Ciryl Gane and Stipe Miocic.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.