Francis Ngannou vs Stipe Miocic
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-3-0Record20-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
83"Reach 80"
257 lbsWeight234 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamStrong Style Fight Team
What's at stake
Francis Ngannou is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Stipe Miocic carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1852
If they lose-19→ 1820
If they win+19→ 1784
If they lose-13→ 1752
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1745 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1802 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Francis NgannouStipe Miocic
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Francis Ngannou79%
Stipe Miocic 21%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Francis Ngannou a 79% favorite over Stipe Miocic in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Francis Ngannou holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1839 to 1765, a 74-point edge.
Francis Ngannou enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Stipe Miocic enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Francis Ngannou finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Stipe Miocic 75%.
Francis Ngannou and Stipe Miocic share 1 common opponent: Junior dos Santos.
Francis Ngannou carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.