Francis Ngannou vs Vadim Nemkov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-3-0Record20-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
83"Reach76"
257 lbsWeight242 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamFedorTeam· 1773 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Francis Ngannou is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Vadim Nemkov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1855
If they lose-17→ 1823
If they win+17→ 1836
If they lose-15→ 1804
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1746 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1710 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Francis NgannouVadim Nemkov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Vadim Nemkov53%
Francis Ngannou 47%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Vadim Nemkov a 53% favorite over Francis Ngannou in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Francis Ngannou's way (47%).
Francis Ngannou holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1840 to 1819, a 21-point edge.
Francis Ngannou enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Vadim Nemkov enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Francis Ngannou finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Vadim Nemkov 80%.
Francis Ngannou and Vadim Nemkov share 1 common opponent: Renan Ferreira.
Francis Ngannou carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.