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Combat Edge Intelligence

Francisco Albano Barrio vs Gray Maynard

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Gray Maynard
us

Gray Maynard

“The Bully”

13-7-1FeatherweightUFC

1619Solid

Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record13-7-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
67.7"Reach70,0"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1639 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Francisco Albano BarrioNow 1621
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
Gray MaynardNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.92
Not available
Strike accuracy
33%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.64
Not available
Strike defense
67%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.91
Not available
Takedown accuracy
48%
Not available
Takedown defense
81%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.70

Trajectory

Francisco Albano BarrioGray Maynard
160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
2 (15%)
9 (56%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (31%)
Decision
11 (85%)

Combat Edge model read

Gray Maynard57%
Francisco Albano Barrio 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gray Maynard a 57% favorite over Francisco Albano Barrio in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Francisco Albano Barrio's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1621 vs 1619), separated by just 2 points.

Francisco Albano Barrio finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Gray Maynard 15%.

Gray Maynard carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.