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Combat Edge Intelligence

Francisco Albano Barrio vs Joe Giannetti

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record16-5-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height6'0"
67.7"Reach42,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Francisco Albano BarrioNow 1620
If they win+16→ 1636
If they lose-16→ 1604
Joe GiannettiNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.93
Not available
Strike accuracy
39%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.80
Not available
Strike defense
41%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1
Not available
Takedown accuracy
17%
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Francisco Albano BarrioJoe Giannetti
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
9 (56%)
Submission
8 (50%)
5 (31%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Joe Giannetti52%
Francisco Albano Barrio 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joe Giannetti a 52% favorite over Francisco Albano Barrio in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Francisco Albano Barrio's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1619), separated by just 1 points.

Francisco Albano Barrio finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Joe Giannetti 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.