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Combat Edge Intelligence

Francisco Albano Barrio vs John Gunderson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record35-16-2
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'9"
67.7"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Francisco Albano BarrioNow 1620
If they win+16→ 1636
If they lose-16→ 1604
John GundersonNow 1619
If they win+12→ 1631
If they lose-12→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.04
Not available
Strike accuracy
27%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.71
Not available
Strike defense
59%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.67
Not available
Takedown accuracy
33%
Not available
Takedown defense
11%
Not available
Submission avg.
2

Trajectory

Francisco Albano BarrioJohn Gunderson
16001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
4 (11%)
9 (56%)
Submission
28 (80%)
5 (31%)
Decision
3 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

John Gunderson54%
Francisco Albano Barrio 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes John Gunderson a 54% favorite over Francisco Albano Barrio in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Francisco Albano Barrio's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1619), separated by just 1 points.

Francisco Albano Barrio finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, John Gunderson 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.