Francisco Albano Barrio vs Mike Aina
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record14-6-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'9"
67.7"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamBJ Penn's MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1636
If they lose-16→ 1604
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Francisco Albano BarrioMike Aina
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Francisco Albano Barrio58%
Mike Aina 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Francisco Albano Barrio a 58% favorite over Mike Aina in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1619), separated by just 1 points.
Mike Aina enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Francisco Albano Barrio finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Mike Aina 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.