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Combat Edge Intelligence

Francisco Albano Barrio vs Willamy Freire

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record26-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
67.7"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamDragon Fight

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Francisco Albano BarrioNow 1621
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
Willamy FreireNow 1621
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.53
Not available
Strike accuracy
37%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.93
Not available
Strike defense
62%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.50
Not available
Takedown accuracy
100%
Not available
Takedown defense
74%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Francisco Albano BarrioWillamy Freire
16001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
8 (32%)
9 (56%)
Submission
10 (40%)
5 (31%)
Decision
7 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Francisco Albano Barrio and Willamy Freire within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1621 vs 1621), separated by just 0 points.

Francisco Albano Barrio finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Willamy Freire 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.