AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Francisco Figueiredo vs Jeff Hougland

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-6-1Record10-6-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'9"
68"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team FigueiredoTeamCombat Sport and Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Francisco FigueiredoNow 1582
If they win+16→ 1598
If they lose-16→ 1566
Jeff HouglandNow 1583
If they win+16→ 1599
If they lose-16→ 1567

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.04
Sig. strikes / min
1.86
62%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.46
62%
Strike defense
48%
2.51
Takedown avg.
0.86
75%
Takedown accuracy
19%
76%
Takedown defense
0%
0.42
Submission avg.
1.15

Trajectory

Francisco FigueiredoJeff Hougland
155016002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
8 (57%)
Submission
7 (70%)
2 (14%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Francisco Figueiredo75%
Jeff Hougland 25%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Francisco Figueiredo a 75% favorite over Jeff Hougland in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jeff Hougland's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1583), separated by just 1 points.

Jeff Hougland enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Francisco Figueiredo finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Jeff Hougland 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.