Francisco Figueiredo vs Jerome Rivera
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-6-1Record10-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'10"
68"Reach41,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team FigueiredoTeamDestroya MMA
What's at stake
Francisco Figueiredo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Jerome Rivera carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1597
If they lose-17→ 1565
If they win+17→ 1575
If they lose-15→ 1543
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Francisco FigueiredoJerome Rivera
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Francisco Figueiredo74%
Jerome Rivera 26%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Francisco Figueiredo a 74% favorite over Jerome Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Francisco Figueiredo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1582 to 1558, a 24-point edge.
Jerome Rivera enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Francisco Figueiredo finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Jerome Rivera 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.