Francisco Figueiredo vs Kris Moutinho
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-6-1Record14-8-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
68"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1598
If they lose-16→ 1566
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Francisco FigueiredoKris Moutinho
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Francisco Figueiredo70%
Kris Moutinho 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Francisco Figueiredo a 70% favorite over Kris Moutinho in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kris Moutinho's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1584), separated by just 2 points.
Kris Moutinho enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Francisco Figueiredo finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Kris Moutinho 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.